农村金融发展与农村经济发展的灰色关联度研究——基于福建省的数据

Study on the Gray Relation between the Rural Financial Development and the Rural Economy Development——Based on the Data in Fujian Province

建立了农村金融发展与农村经济增长的灰色关联度分析模型,对福建省农村金融发展与经济增长的相互关系进行了实证分析,并利用格兰杰因果关系检验法检验两者之间的因果关系。结果显示:农业贷款余额的增长是农林牧渔总产值增长、农业产业化经营组织的销售收入增长和以农产品为原料的工业企业产值增长的格兰杰成因;农村经济发展不是农村金融发展的格兰杰成因。

It builds the grey relational grade analysis model between the rural financial development and the rural economy development,carries on positive analysis to the relationship between Fujian rural financial development and economic growth and uses Granger causality test their causal relation.This indicates that growth of agricultural loans outstanding is the Granger Cause to the growth of Integrate forestry output value,sales revenue of the industrialized operation of agriculture organization and production value of agricultural products as raw material to the industrial enterprise.The rural economy development is not the Granger Cause to the rural financial development.