基于地区差异分析的中国技术创新产出研究

The Research of Innovation Output in China Based on Regional Variance Analysis

为了对我国区域技术创新产出能力有一个全局性的了解,通过因子分析发现技术创新产出可分解为自主创新产出和短期应用产出两类。为进一步找到这两类产出的地区性差异,在分析影响创新产出的决定因素的基础上,构建了科学的科技供需计量分析模型,利用此模型测算了我国地区科技供需基本情况。最后,对地区创新产出能力和地区科技供需特征之间的关系进行了实证研究。结果表明:我国地区自主创新产出与当地科技高供给有强相关性,而与当地是否有科技需求关联性不强,这说明地区科技发展还未进入以需求为主导的阶段。而在短期科技应用上,如科技贸易,科技转让,各地区间没有明显的差异。需要解决的普遍性问题是如何完善科技市场化机制,促进研发与应用的良性循环。

In order to study regional technological innovation output capability for an overall understanding,this paper finds the technological innovation output can be decomposed into two kinds through factor analysis: short-term S&T application output and independent innovation output. To find the regional differences in these two outputs, the paper building a scientific measurement of regional S&T supply and demand model based on the analysis of the influence factors of the innovation output, by which the basic situation of regional S&T supply and demand in China is estimated. Finally, the relationship between regional innovation out and S&T supply and demand characteristics are found by an empirical analysis. The empirical results show that the independent innovation output in China is strongly correlated to the high S&T supply, but is not to the local S&T demand, indicating the development of regional S&T has not yet entered the demand driven stage. In the short-term S&T applications, such as technology trade, technology transfer, there is no significant difference across regions. The universal problem need to solve is how to strengthen the technology market mechanisms to promote virtuous circle of R&D and application.