国际油价波动与苏联解体

Fluctuation in International Oil Price and Disintegration of the USSR

20世纪70年代,苏联在成为世界第一大石油出口国的同时,也成为世界最大的谷物和食品进口国,苏联当时已被深深地卷入了西方主导的国际贸易体系。80年代中期,在国际油价急剧下跌的情势下,苏联政治高层对策失误,成为苏联解体的重要因素之一。把握世界经济的周期性规律,对于制订应对经济危机的举措和规划危机后的发展战略大有裨益。

In 1970s, as No.1 oil exporter and the biggest grain and food importer, the Soviet Union had already been cleeply involved in the western-driven international trade system. With a rapid decline in international oil price, in the middle 1980s, countermeasure miscarriage of the Soviet Union high-ranking politicians became one of the important factors leading to its disintegration. Grasping the cyclical law of world economy will benefit related decision making process and after-crisis development as well.