基于SD模型的可再生能源技术创新动力要素研究

Research on the Driving Factors of Renewable Energy Technology Innovation Based on SD Model

近几年,我国可再生能源的发展取得显著的成绩,但是自主创新能力仍较弱,尚未掌握可再生能源的核心技术,导致其产业成本居高不下。分析了可再生能源创新实现的影响因素、过程,构造了可再生能源产业发展初期的系统动力学模型,并对模型进行了实证检验与动态仿真,得出可再生能源发展初期,政府与中介机构为技术创新核心推动力的结论。

For the past few years, China has made great strides in the renewable energy industry. However, the low innovation level of this industry along with the fact that China has not owned the core technology of renewable energy leads to high cost in the industry. Analyzing the influence factors, the processes and the paths of innovation in renewable energy industry, this paper constructs a SD model for the early stage of development of renewable energy, tests the efficiency of the model, makes a dynamic simulation, and finally draws the conclusion that the government and intermediaries are acting as the main impetus in the early development of renewable energy.