我国工业化水平与环境污染关系的实证研究——基于边限协整检验的视角

An Empirical Study on the Correlation between China's Industrialization Level and Environmental Pollution——From the Perspective of Bounds Testing

以1982～2008年的年度数据为样本,使用自回归分布滞后-误差修正模型(ARDL-ECM),并运用边限检验的方法对我国工业化水平和环境污染间长期和短期关系进行了实证研究。研究结果表明:只有二氧化硫、工业废气和工业烟尘与我国的工业化水平间存在长期稳定的关系,且我国的工业化水平对不同污染物排放的长短期影响也不相同。

Taking annual data from 1982 to 2008 as the sample,this paper researches on the long-term and short-term correlation between China＇s industrialization level and environmental pollution by using the methodologies of bounds testing and autoregressive distributed lag error correction model（ARDL-ECM）.The research indicates that,long-term stable correlation exists only between SO_2,industrial waste gas,industrial fumes,and industrialization level,and its effects on discharge of various pollutants are different in long term and short term.