基于ADC的弹道导弹防御系统效能模型

Research on Effectiveness Model of Ballistic Missile Defense System Based on ADC

ADC模型是一种基于系统状态的概率模型。要建立ADC模型,首先应对系统的各种状态进行列举区分。弹道导弹防御系统作为由若干子系统组成的整体,其状态组合数可以说是数不胜数,这给建模工作带来了很大困难。从计算角度对弹道导弹防御系统的相关因素、结构进行了分析梳理,避免了大量的状态罗列,又保留了ADC效能模型的本质,从解析角度即可检验模型方法的合理性,模型结构简明,计算方便可行。

ADC is a probability model based on system states.We should list all system states to establish ADC model for the first.Ballistic missile defense system is composed of several subsystems,the number of its states is countless.The numerous states makes modeling very difficult.In this paper,we analyze and reorganize the factors and structure of ballistic missile defense system on calculation.Numerous states listing is avoided,but the essence of ADC model is kept.The rationality of the model can be checked through the analysis.Structure of the model is simple and clear,and calculation is convenient.