我国研究生教育对经济增长的贡献率——基于1996—2009年省际面板数据的实证研究

The Impact of Graduate Education on Economic Growth in China:An Empirical Analysis on a Provincial Panel Data from 1996 to 2009

利用1996-2009年省际面板数据,对我国研究生教育对经济增长的贡献率进行实证分析,结果发现:1996-2009年间,我国研究生教育对经济增长具有正向促进作用,年均拉动GDP增长0.46个百分点,对GDP年均增长的贡献率为4.11%;研究生教育或者说知识资本和人力资本对经济增长的贡献率远低于物质资本的贡献率;忽略研究生教育的作用将会导致高估物质资本而低估人力资本的作用;我国研究生教育对经济增长的影响作用弱于美国研究生教育的影响作用。

The paper analyses the impact of graduate education on economic growth by a provincial panel data from 1996 to 2009 in China.The study finds that graduate education has a significant positive impact on economic growth in the period 1997-2009,which leads to an annual growth by 0.46 in real GDP and accounts 4.11% on the real GDP annual growth rate.Secondly,graduate education or knowledge capital and human capital have a much lower contribution to economic growth than physical capital.Thirdly,if we neglect the effect of graduate education,we would overestimate the effect of physical capital and underestimate the effect of human capital.Lastly,the impact of graduate education on economic growth in China is lower than that in US.