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Prediction of urban human mobility using large-scale taxi traces and its applications 被引量:46

Prediction of urban human mobility using large-scale taxi traces and its applications
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摘要 This paper investigates human mobility patterns in an urban taxi transportation system. This work focuses on predicting human mobility from discovering patterns of in the number of passenger pick-ups quantity (PUQ) from urban hotspots. This paper proposes an improved ARIMA based prediction method to forecast the spatial-temporal variation of passengers in a hotspot. Evaluation with a large-scale real- world data set of 4 000 taxis' GPS traces over one year shows a prediction error of only 5.8%. We also explore the applica- tion of the pl^di^fioti approach to help drivers find their next passetlgerS, The sinatllation results using historical real-world data demonstrate that, with our guidance, drivers can reduce the time taken and distance travelled, to find their next pas- senger+ by 37.1% and 6.4% respectively, This paper investigates human mobility patterns in an urban taxi transportation system. This work focuses on predicting human mobility from discovering patterns of in the number of passenger pick-ups quantity (PUQ) from urban hotspots. This paper proposes an improved ARIMA based prediction method to forecast the spatial-temporal variation of passengers in a hotspot. Evaluation with a large-scale real- world data set of 4 000 taxis' GPS traces over one year shows a prediction error of only 5.8%. We also explore the applica- tion of the pl^di^fioti approach to help drivers find their next passetlgerS, The sinatllation results using historical real-world data demonstrate that, with our guidance, drivers can reduce the time taken and distance travelled, to find their next pas- senger+ by 37.1% and 6.4% respectively,
出处 《Frontiers of Computer Science》 SCIE EI CSCD 2012年第1期111-121,共11页 中国计算机科学前沿(英文版)
关键词 urban traffic GPS traces HOTSPOTS human mo-bility prediction auto-regressive integrated moving average(ARiMA) urban traffic, GPS traces, hotspots, human mo-bility prediction, auto-regressive integrated moving average(ARiMA)
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