欧美制裁伊朗对全球油气市场的影响

Impact on the global oil and gas markets for the sanctions against Iran by Europe and America

日、韩、中和印对霍尔木兹海峡的依存度分别为77%、74%、36%和29%。美国对霍尔木兹海峡的依存度约为19%。如果伊朗封锁霍尔木兹海峡,将对全球石油市场产生灾难性影响,油价涨幅也不可估量。

The impact is not big to the global natural gas market for the sanctions against Iran by Europe and America.But if the international oil price rises,the natural gas price will certainly link with it.Iranian natural gas export is rare,mainly to Turkey about 800 mmscf/d piping gas(through Iran central bank settlement).The political relationship between the two countries is firm,so no impact is expected to happen to the two countries' natural gas trade for the sanctions against Iran.But if the Strait of Hormuz is blockaded by Iran and the international oil price rises sharply,the demand of the world's natural gas will be stimulated and increased,natural gas price will also face a rise.