中国女子田径最佳成绩发展态势及灰色预测研究

Chinese Women's Rrack and Field the Best Achievement and Grey Prediction of Development Research

以1-11届全国运动会女子田径各项目最佳成绩和第12届全运会女子田径预测成绩作为研究对象,利用灰色理论的GM(1,1)模型方法探讨了我国女子田径项目50年的发展态势,旨在为12年伦敦奥运会寻找基石和突破口。结果显示,女子10000米、20km竞走、铅球、铁饼等项目应为12年伦敦奥运会中国女子代表团的重点发展项目。

In the 1 and 11 National Games women＇s track and field project the best performance and Twelfth National Games women＇s track and field prediction results as the research object,using the grey theory GM（1,1） model to discuss our country women＇s track and field 50 years development situation,designed for the 12 Olympic Games in London looking for cornerstone and breach.The results showed,the women＇s 10000 metres race,20km,shot,discus and other items should be for the 12 London Olympics Chinese women＇s delegation key development projects.