摘要
文章结合新古典和新贸易理论研究范式,考察了国内需求对制成品出口的影响。研究发现,制造业中大部分产业的国内需求对出口有显著的正影响,但对于不同行业来说,出口的影响因素有很大差异,超过半数的产业内需对出口的影响已经超过劳动力禀赋的影响,并且贸易自由化会放大内需对出口的影响。我国未来出口将以产业内贸易为主,要更有针对性地采取政策措施以使扩大内需与稳定出口相辅相成,这样才能更大程度地获取贸易收益。
This paper uses the new classical and new-trade theory paradigms to analyze the effect of domestic demand on the export of manufactured goods. It arrives at the conclusions as follows, the domestic demand of most of industries in manufacturing has significantly positive effects on the export but the influencing factors differ with the industries; the effects of the domestic demand of over half of industries in manufacturing on the export are bigger than the effect of labor endowment on the export and trade liberation can enlarge the effect of domestic demand on the export. The future export in China should focus on the trade between industries; in order to gain trade benefits to a great extent, China should take targeted policy measures aiming at expanding domestic demand and stabilizing the exports.
出处
《财经研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第3期115-123,共9页
Journal of Finance and Economics
基金
国家社科基金重大项目(11&ZD007)
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金资助项目(11YJC790033)
对外经贸大学学术创新团队资助项目
"211工程"三期建设项目
重点培育学科项目
特色科研项目的支持
关键词
国内消费
要素禀赋
出口
domestic consumption
factor endowment
export
