我国城镇居民收入差距的预警分析——从基尼系数角度考虑

A Study on the Early Warning of Urban Income Gap Based on Gini Coeffieient

通过城镇居民收入差距的基尼系数的演变检验库次涅茨假说成立,并建立预警体系。在此基础上分析未来20年我国城镇居民的收入差距。结果显示在未来的至少16年间,城镇居民收入差距在偏大阶段。

This paper analyzes the ＂inverted U＂ tendency based on Gin coefficient, and establishs an early warning model, which reveals an increasingly widening gap. The result shows that the income gap between chinese urban residents will be wide in the further 16 years.