滨海新区经济近期发展分析预测与远期展望

Analysis and Forecasting of the Recent Developments and Distant View in the Coastal New-region

利用天津市统计局提供的滨海新区 1999年前三个季度经济发展月报统计数据建立经济发展的数学模型 ,通过此模型对滨海新区 1999年各主要经济指标完成情况进行了分析。利用前面得到的 1999年完成数据 ,并参考 1998年及以前年报表的数据又建立了预测模型 ,近期对 2 0 0 0年、远期对未来 10年滨海新区的经济发展作出了预测和展望 ,还对实现预期目标提出了合理化建议。

The article makes use of the monthly statistic data of economic development of the Coastal New region,from Jan. to Sep. of 1999,of Tianjin Statistic Bureau to set up a mathematical model for the development of economy.By this model the fulfilled key targets of economy in the Coastal New region in 1999 can be analysed,and using the data and Annual data,including the data of 1999 obtained from the Bureau,a new mathematical model for the foreasting will be set up to forecast the development of economy of the Coastal New region in the year 2000 and in 10 years to come.And some rationalization proposals are put forward to reach the predict targets.