基于专利信息分析的技术生命周期判断方法

The Distinguishing Methods of Technology Life Cycle Based on Patent Analysis

本文从专利信息特征出发研究技术生命周期的判断方法,归纳总结出了5种典型方法,分别为:S曲线法、专利指标法、相对增长率法、技术生命周期图法、TCT计算法。论文给出了具体计算公式及详细的判断方法。最后对5种判断方法进行评价,指出各自的适用条件。论文对技术生命周期判断方法的归纳全面而实用,为研究者根据实际情况灵活选用不同判断方法提供了理论参考。

This article studied the distinguishing methods of technology life cycle from the information characteristic of patent.It summarized five typical methods,which were s-curve,patent indicators,relative growth rates,patent technology life cycle diagram,TCT.The article gave specific calculation formulas and distinguishing methods.Lastly it evaluated the five methods and also pointed out their applicable conditions.The distinguishing methods of technology life cycle the article summarized were comprehensive and practical.The article provided a theoretical reference for studiers of choosing proper distinguishing methods according to actual situation.