鄱阳湖经济区居民消费支出与收入的回归分析(英文)

Regression analysis of the residents' consumption expenditure and income in Poyang Lake Area

根据2001—2009年鄱阳湖生态经济区居民人均收入和消费支出的相关数据,运用线性回归模型,从城镇和农村两个角度,研究了该区居民消费支出与可支配收入之间数量关系.结果显示,农村居民边际消费倾向大于城镇居民,未来农村居民消费潜力大;农村居民的边际消费倾向较高,收入不足才是农民消费需求不足的根源.最后提出增加居民的收入,特别是农村居民的收入是发挥该地区消费对经济的拉动效应的重要手段,同时提出提高农民收入、缩小城乡差距等的政策建议.

Based on the data of the urban and rural residents＇ income and expenditure in Poyang Lake Area from 2001 to 2009, using linear regression model, from urban and rural perspective, the quantitative relationship between income and expenditure is studied. The results show that the marginal propensity of rural residents to consume is bigger than that of urban residents, that the future consumption of rural residents is more potential, and that insufficient income is the source of farm- ers＇ lack of consumer demand. Finally,it is concluded that increasing the residents＇ income, especially the rural residents＇ income is an important means in the region to exert a pulling effect on the economy income. At the same time, some policy recommendations, such as increasing farmers＇ income and decreasing the gap between rural and urban areas, are proposed.