湖北省中长期电力规划工作低碳效益计算分析

Calculation of and Analysis on the Low-carbon Benefit of Long-medium Term Electric Power Planning Work of Hubei Province

根据电力生产能源转化过程建立碳排放数学模型,依据湖北省2010—2030年电力生产规划,结合已有数据对湖北省未来20年电力需求、火电机组发电量、碳排放总量及碳排放强度进行了分析计算,研究规划期内湖北省能源结构变化对碳排放轨迹的影响,并对湖北省电力生产低碳化进程提出建设性意见。

This paper establishes the carbon emission mathematical model based on the energy conversion process in power generation,and according to the electric power production planning of Hubei Province from 2010 to 2030,and connecting with existing data,analyzes and calculates the power demand,the capacity of the thermal power units,the overall carbon emissions and carbon emission intensity of Hubei Province in future 20 years,and researches the influences of the variation of the energy structure of Hubei Province on the track of carbon emissions in the planning period,and puts forward some constructive suggestions on the low carbon process in power generation in Hubei Province.