中国物流业吸引FDI影响因素的实证分析——基于1997—2009年时间序列数据的计量检验分析

Empirical Analysis of Impact factors of China's Logistics Industry in Attracting FDI——Econometric analysis based on 1997-2009 annual time series data

运用 1997-2009 年时间序列数据分析了中国物流业吸引FDI的影响因素。通过协整检验,发现中国物流业FDI和市场规模、服务业开放水平、制造业数量、基础设施建设水平、劳动力成本水平之间存在长期稳定的协整关系;后采用逐步回归分析法进行建模后发现,制造业数量和劳动力成本水平是中国物流业FDI流入的重要影响因素。

This article analyzes the impact factors of China＇s logistics industry in attracting FDI.By co-integration,we find there is a long-term stable co-integration relationship between FDI in China＇s logistics industry and market size,the level of services liberalization,the number of manufacturing,infrastructure level,the level of labor costs;then by stepwise regression analysis model we find that the number of manufacturing and labor costs are the important impact factors of China＇s logistics industry in attracting FDI.