后危机时代广东出口贸易影响因素的实证分析

An Empirical Study of the Influence factors of Guangdong's Export Trade in Post-Crisis Era

广东外贸出口受国内外多种因素的影响,广东国内生产总值、技术进步、实际外商直接投资额、固定资产投资以及广东外贸进口总额等都是影响广东出口的主要因素。根据广东1987-2010年的数据实证检验了广东出口额与以上影响因素的关系。结果表明:实际到位的外商直接投资值对广东外贸出口的影响最大,广东外贸进口额次之,其中技术进步指标对广东外贸出口的影响最小。

Guangdong＇s exports due to various domestic factors. Guangdong＇s gross domestic product, technology advancement, actual foreign direct investment, investment in fixed assets and Guangdong＇s foreign trade imports are major factors affecting exports in Guangdong Province. By using the related date from 1987 to 2010 ,the paper makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between Guangdong＇ s foreign trade export and the above - mentioned factors. The results show that the actual values of direct foreign investment is the maximum factor influence affecting the foreign trade export of Guangdong, and the foreign trade imports of Guangdong follows it. The influence of advancement of technology is the last one.