摘要
分析虚拟企业风险因素的层次结构以及量化评价中的不确定性,设计了随机层次分析法(SAHP)来对其风险进行评价.在随机层次分析法中,将专家咨询法过程中的不确定性描述为随机变量,得到随机判断矩阵.进而应用随机模拟方法确定随机判断矩阵中元素的估计值.运用随机层次分析法对某虚拟企业三个备选组建方案的风险评价进行了实证分析,阐明该方法对于多指标、不确定性的最优方案选择问题是一种科学、可行的方法.
The hierarchy structure of virtual enterprise （VE） risk factors and the uncertainty in its quantitative evaluation are analyzed, and a stochastic analytic hierarchy process （SAHP） is designed to evaluate VE risk,： For SAHP, the uncertainties in the process of expert consultative method are described by random variables, and a random judgment matrix is built. The stochastic simulation method is applied to estimating value of the elements in the random judgment matrix. The SAHP is employed to evaluate the risk of three optional organizing plans for VE, and the SAHP is illustrated as a scientific and practicable method for selecting optimal plan problem with multi-index and uncertainty.
出处
《信息与控制》
CSCD
北大核心
2012年第1期110-116,共7页
Information and Control
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金资助项目(09YJA880100)
关键词
随机层次分析法
虚拟企业
风险评价
随机模拟方法
层次结构
stochastic analytic hierarchy process （SAHP）
virtual enterprise
risk evaluation
stochastic simulation method
hierarchy structure
