摘要
通过决策树法结合实际案例对影响灭火救援指挥决策的各因素进行分析,建立了指标评估体系,绘制了风险评估决策树,并计算出期望值,对决策方案进行风险评估,给出了符合火灾救援现场实际情况的决策方案。通过决策树法对指挥决策进行风险评估,有利于提高指挥者的决策质量和指挥能力,完善灭火救援指挥运作机制。
Based fighting command on the tree decision - making , this paper analyzes various factors that influence the decisions of fire in real cases, sets up an assessment index system, drafts risk assessment of tree decision - making, calculates the expectation value, assesses the risk of decision - making schemas and provides decision - making plans suited to the fire fighting scenes. Assessing the risks through tree decision -making can improve the decision maker＇ s decision quality and command capability and perfect the operating mechanism of fire fighting command.
出处
《武警学院学报》
2012年第2期33-36,共4页
Journal of the Armed Police Academy
关键词
灭火救援
决策方案
决策树
评估
firefighting
decision plan
decision tree
assessment
