区域差异、民生支出与居民消费:理论与实证

Regional Differences,Government Expenditure on Livelihood and Resident Consumption Demand:Analysis of Theory and Evidence

本文在最优消费行为理论分析框架下,考虑我国区域差异中城乡居民消费的特点,将政府民生支出引入消费函数进行理论分析,并利用中国1997-2009年的面板数据,对政府民生支出与居民消费进行实证检验。研究结果表明,政府民生支出与居民消费存在正向关系;政府民生支出对农村居民消费的影响大于对城镇居民消费的影响;政府民生支出对农村居民消费的影响表现为中西部地区大于东部地区;各地区居民收入对消费的影响大于民生支出对消费的影响。因此,今后政府民生支出应向农村居民尤其是中西部地区农村倾斜,以促进居民消费的稳定增长。

Based on the optimum consumption behavior theory and the consumption characteristics of Chinese residents,the paper introduces government expenditure on livelihood and the consumption function.The paper also makes an empirical test by using the panel data of China from 1997 to 2009.The results are as follows,government expenditure on livelihood has positive impact on resident consumption;the impact of government expenditure on livelihood on resident consumption in rural areas is greater than the one in urban areas;the impact of government expenditure on livelihood on rural resident consumption in Midwest areas is greater than the one in eastern areas;the impact of income on resident consumption is greater than the one of government expenditure on livelihood all of fields.So government expenditure is to be directed toward rural residents,especially the ones in the rural areas of the Midwest,thus promoting stable growth of resident consumption.