河南省能源消费与经济增长关系关联分析

Association of the relationship of energy consumption and economic growth in Henan province

随着中部崛起战略的实施,河南省经济发展迅速,能源消费大幅增加。论文选择了河南省2000年以来的经济增长指标和能源消费指标,运用灰色关联模型,分析计算了各年度河南省能源消费与经济增长的关联度指标,并将关联度按大小进行排序,分析得出了各种能源资源对河南省经济增长的贡献程度。研究结果表明,煤炭、石油、天然气消费与经济增长的关联度较大,其中煤炭最大;而水电与河南省经济增长的关联度较低,说明河南省能源消费仍然没有摆脱对化石能源,尤其是对煤炭的依赖。结合分析结果,论文提出了加快新能源开发、实现能源供给和消费的多元化的调整和优化河南省能源生产和消费结构的建议和措施。

With the implementation of the strategy of the rise of the central region,the economic developed rapidly and the consumption of energy has increased in Henan Province.Paper chooses growth index and energy consumption indicators in Henan Province since 2000 economic,using grey relational model for calculating the Henan Province the annual energy consumption and economic growth index,and correlation degree will be ordered according to size.the analysis of energy resources in Henan Province indicts the economic contribution to the growth of degree.The results of the study show that,coal,oil and natural gas consumption and economic growth,including the coal is greatest.However,water electricity has low correlation degree to the Henan Province economic growth.Low energy consumption show that it still not get rid of Henan Province of fossil energy,especially to the dependent on coal.Combining analysis results,this thesis proposes to speed up the development of new energy and realize the energy supply and consumption adjustment and optimization of the diversification of the energy production and consumption structure of Henan Province suggestions and measures.