农户种粮选择行为影响因素分析

Analysis on Factors Affecting Famer's Behaviour Choice in Grain Production

对农户种粮行为选择的影响因素进行了分析。指出:农户种粮行为的选择受资源禀赋、心理认知和种粮收益三大类因素的影响,但这三大类因素对农户种粮行为选择的作用机理不同,其中种粮收益的大小直接影响农户对种粮是否满意,进而影响农户种粮行为的选择。基于调查所得资料,运用有序多分类Logistic模型,实证分析了农户种粮行为选择的影响因素以及各影响因素的内在作用机理,指出提高亩均种粮收益和扩大种粮收益占农户家庭总收入中的比重是促使农户继续选择种粮的最根本途径。最后讨论了促使农户选择种粮应采取的措施。

Through analyzing the factors affecting the farmers＇ behaviour choice in grain production,this paper points out as follows：the farmer＇s choice in grain production is affected by three kinds of factors,namely resource endowment, cognitive psychology and grain income, and the effect mechanisms of these factors are different ; grain income directly affects farmer＇s satisfaction for grain production, and further affects farmer＇s behaviour choice in grain production. Based on the survey data,it empirically analyzes the factors affecting the farmer＇s behaviour choice in grain production and the underlying mechanisms of these factors by using the ordinal Logistic model. The result indicates that improving grain income and increasing the share of farmer＇s grain income in total household income are the most fundamental ways to urge farmers to continue choosing grain production. Finally,it discusses the measures which should be taken to urge farmers to choose grain production.