我国农业资金投入对抗灾能力的效应分析

An Analysis of Effects of Agricultural Investments on anti-Disaster Ability in China

本文分析了我国农业资金投入和农业气象灾害、抗灾能力的历史与现状;采用定性与定量相结合、相关与回归分析方法,对我国农业资金投入、水利设施建设对粮食生产的影响效应,各种农业资金投入对农业水利设施建设的效应进行了实证分析。结果表明:除水库数量外,农业资金投入与水利设施对粮食生产有显著影响,农业资金投入对水利设施也具有明显的正向效应,因此增加资金投入是提高农业抗灾能力、保障粮食安全的重要保证;并就农业水利建设的优先次序提出了建议。

This paper analyzed the history and current situation of agricultural investments, agricultural meteorological disasters and anti-disaster abilities in China. The qualitative and quantitative, correlation and regression analysis methods were applied to study effects of agricultural investments and various types of water conservancy facilities on food production, and effects of various agricultural funds on agricultural water conservancy facilities, the result shows that, in addition to numbers of reservoir, impact of agricultural investments and types of water conservancy facilities on food production were significant statistically, various agricultural investments on water conservancy facilities also had a significant positive effect. Thus, It is an important guarantee to increase investment for raising abilities of anti-disasters and safeguard food safety, and agricultural water conservancy construction priorities are proposed.