产业结构调整对皖北地区经济增长影响的实证分析

Empirical Analysis of the Industrial Structure Adjustment and the Economic Growth in Northern Anhui

根据1995-2009年的相关数据对皖北地区产业结构与经济增长的关系进行回归分析,得出农业在皖北地区经济增长中仍发挥着主要的作用,工业相对处于弱势地位,而第三产业对经济增长的拉动作用也比较小的结论。针对分析结果,提出推进农业产业化、发展特色产业、大力发展现代服务业等建议,以达到调整产业结构,促进皖北地区经济增长的目的。

According to the data of the northern Anhui between 1995 and 2009,this paper analyzes how economic growth changes when industrial structure is adjusted.And it concludes that angriculture still has an important role in improving economic growth,industry plays a relative weaker role,while the role of tertiary industry is small.Based on the result,the paper comes up with some proposals to improve the adjustment of industrial structure and the economic growth of the northern Anhui,namely,enhancing the industrialization of agriculture,developing characteristic industries,playing the full role of modern service trades.