碳关税对我国出口贸易影响的经济效应分析

Economic Effect Analysis of Carbon Tariffs on China's Export Trade

基于经济学视角,针对欧美等发达国家拟实施的碳关税,从碳关税特性上分析其给我国出口贸易带来的出口商品种类、价格、数量、市场份额以及总体经济的控制效应。在此基础上,进一步分析了实施碳关税将给我国贸易格局带来的变化以及对我国出口产业国际竞争力的影响。分析结果表明:碳关税的征收将导致我国高碳产品出口价格优势丧失、数量减少、贸易条件恶化以及产业国际竞争力的缺失。有鉴于此,在出口方面做好应对措施才是跨越碳关税的关键。

This paper took an economic perspective to look at the U.S.and EU countries,proposal of imposing carbon tariffs on imports.It discussed carbon tariffs on China's export trade in export goods categories,the price,the amount,market share and the overall economic control effect.On this basis,it further analyzed the influence that implement the carbon tariffs will bring to China's trade patterns and the international competitiveness of China's export industry.The result shows that Chinese high-carbon products will lose their price advantage once the carbon tariffs imposed,and consequently decrease export amount,deteriorate trade condition and the industry will forfeit its international competitiveness.Therefore,making full preparation to cope with carbon tariffs is the key to surmount carbon trade barriers.