我国当前通货膨胀的深层次原因探究——从生产结构的角度分析

Core Reasons of Current Inflation in China——Based on the Analysis of Production Structure

投入产出价格影响模型的分析结果表明,农业对我国当前通货膨胀影响最大,第二产业中高能耗、高资源依赖型行业对通货膨胀的潜在影响较大,但不同行业的影响呈现差异化特点,部分生产性服务业对通货膨胀也具有潜在影响。随着经济增长方式转变和生产结构优化,能源和资源品价格上涨短期内对通货膨胀会形成较大压力,但长期影响将逐步减弱,而生产性服务业产品价格的上升将成为未来影响我国通货膨胀的主要因素。

The price of agriculture product is the first reason of current inflation.The price of high energy consumption and resources dependence departments in secondary industries is the second important reason,and some productive service industries are the third reason.With the transformation of production and economy structure,the pressure of energy and resources price on inflation will be reduced gradually,but the price of the productive service industries will become the main factor influencing on future inflation.