能源消耗与经济发展的实证分析——以辽宁省为例

Empirical Analysis of Energy Consumption and Economic Development——In Liaoning Province

能源是有限的,所以能源消耗长期以来都是经济学家们所关注的热点问题,本文针对这一热点问题,对辽宁省的能源消耗与经济发展的问题进行了实证分析。本文首先对辽宁省能源分布、消耗与经济发展进行了简要的统计分析,得出辽宁省经济发展能源依赖程度高,且所依赖的能源绝大部分是不可再生的,辽宁省的经济发展面临发展瓶颈的初步结论。而后利用能源消耗强度指标,选取我国各省份能源消耗强度与人均GDP的面板数据,应用计量统计方法分析能源消耗强度与经济发展的收敛状况,进而分析辽宁省节能潜力,得出如下结论:地区经济发展水平与能源消耗强度存在负相关的关系;辽宁省能源消耗强度高、投入与产出比例大,能源利用率低,具有很大的节能空间。

Energy is limited,the energy consumption has been the focus of economists for a long time.Aiming at this hot issue,energy consumption and economic development problem of Liaoning Province is empirically analyzed.First of all,the energy distribution,consumption and economic development of Liaoning Province are Statistical analyzed.Draw the following preliminary conclusions,economic development of Liaoning province has a high degree of energy dependence,most of the energy is non-renewable,Liaoning＇s economy is facing development bottlenecks.Then the using of energy intensity indicators,select the panel data of energy consumption intensity and gdp of chinese provinces,and analysis the Convergence of energy intensity and economic development,and then analyze the energy saving potential of Liaoning Province the following conclusions： there is negative correlation between the level of economic development and energy consumption intensity.Liaoning Province saving potential coefficient is higher than the national average,high ratio of input and output,low energy efficiency,so it has great energy conservation space.