跨太平洋伙伴关系协定:中国崛起过程中的重大挑战

Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement:A Major Challenge to China’s Rise

跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(TPP)是美国"回归亚太"战略的重要组成部分,其动机既有经济又有政治方面的考虑,其中遏制中国崛起是一个不容否认的目标。以2011年亚太经合组织(APEC)峰会为标志,TPP已进入实质性谈判阶段。其未来的发展前景很大程度上将取决于日本及其他东亚国家的立场,至于美国所宣称的亚太自由贸易区协定(FTAAP)现阶段基本上是一个没有实际意义的符号。一旦TPP成为现实,APEC首当其冲将可能会被架空。对中国而言,被排除在TPP之外不仅意味着将受到"排他性效应"的冲击,而且过去十年中国所致力推动的东亚区域经济合作进程有可能因此而发生逆转,这将是中国崛起过程中面临的一次重大挑战。

The Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement(TPP) is an important part of the US ’' Return to Asia ' strategy that is based on economic and geo-political-security considerations.China ' containment ' is an undeniable target of the agreement.A TPP framework agreement was reached in the APEC Honolulu Summit and,to a great extent,its prospects will depend on the positions adopted by Japan and other East Asian countries.As for the Free Trade Agreement of Asia-Pacific(FTAAP) proposed by the US,it is but a meaningless symbol at the current stage.Once TPP is instituted,APEC will be the first to be sidelined.For China,the exclusive TPP will not only bring about the ' excludability effect ',but possibly reverse the course of the East Asian regional integration that China has been pushing for over a decade.It will constitute a major challenge to China ’ s rise.