亚洲经济复苏前景探析

Analyzing the Prospect of Economic Recovery in Asia

亚洲经济复苏将主要取决于亚洲各国民间消费和投资需求能否强劲增长。导致亚洲国家内需不足的深层原因在供给方面 ,也即产业结构调整升级滞后。在全球新一轮产业结构重组中 ,亚洲国家金融业竞争劣势凸显 ,传统产业竞争优势减弱或丧失。为解决此问题 ,必须进行彻底的制度改革。政府在目前银行和企业改革、银企改革与开放的同步进行 ,是改革能否取得突破性进展的关键所在。改革的速度及其效果 ,将影响2

Economic recovery in Asia will mainly depend upon a strong growth of private consumption and investment demand in Asian states. The deep_root cause for inadequate domestic demand in Asia lies in the supply or the industrial structure, which has to be reformed but lagged behind. The disadvantages of the financial sector of Asian states have become even more evident during the new round of restructuring of production in the world. The competitiveness of traditional sectors is decreasing and losing. A complete restructuring is needed to solve this issue. It is critical to achieve some breakthroughs in the ongoing reform in banking and enterprises, which goes along with opening up. Pace of reform and its success will influence the new ranking of Asia and Asian states in the global economy.