国际农产品价格如何影响了中国农产品价格?

How Do Prices of Foreign Agricultural Products Affect Prices of Chinese Agricultural Products?

本文使用月度数据考察国际农产品价格是否影响中国农产品价格,以及影响程度和可能的影响机制。在控制了其他影响因素的条件下,本文证实了国际农产品价格对国内价格具有经济意义上的显著影响,各种农产品的国内价格对相同产品国际价格的反应程度存在较大差异,玉米、大米和大豆价格的国际价格弹性介于0.20到0.36之间,小麦的国际价格弹性为0.05左右,国内外农产品市场间高度的整合关系主要是通过国际贸易建立的。中国在未来为保持粮价稳定需要加大对农业的扶持力度,加强国内农产品储备,合理地对农产品贸易进行管制,建立农产品价格预警机制,并通过财政补贴等手段平抑因国际价格波动而带来的国内农产品价格上涨。

This text explores whether prices of foreign agricultural products affect Chinese domestic prices of foreign agricultural products. Other factors controlled, we certify that foreign prices have affected domestic prices significantly by economic sense. Degree of response to foreign prices differs among various kinds of agricultural products. Foreign price elasticity of corn, rice and soybean＇ s domestic price range from 0.20 to 0.36, but elasticity of wheat＇ s domestic price is only 0.05. This shows the integration of domestic and foreign prices has been established through international trade. Chinese government should alleviate price rising aroused by foreign market through the means of supporting agriculture more and enlarging stock of agricultural products.