林农可持续经营模式行为选择与约束影响分析

Analysis on the Foresters’Behavior Choices and Impact of Constraints about the Sustainable Operated Pattern

基于广东省韶关市抽样调查样本数据，对集体林权改革后农户林业经营模式的选择行为影响因素进行分析，利用Logistic模型对农户选择行为与各个自变量进行了回归。认为农户家庭的劳动力，林地的细碎化程度，农民对集体林改的了解程度，农户林权的完备程度以及林业收入占家庭总收入的比重等凶素对农户林业经营模式的选择行为具有不同程度和方向的影响。文章在埘回归结果分析的基础』二结合SSCP范式，埘农户选择行为逻辑做了较为深入的剖析和解释，认为林业经营模式只有与资源特征与制度环境相距配时才能实现效益的最大化和经营的可持续性。

Based on the sample survey in Shaoguan prefecture of Guangdong province, this paper is about the anal- ysis of constraint factors about peasants＇selection behavior on forestry operated pattern. It takes regression of behav- iors in peasants＇ selection behavior and each independent variable by using Logistic model. The results reveal that peasants＇ selection behavior to different degree and in different direction is affected by household labor number, the degree of crushing woodland, the degree of peasants＇ cognition about the collective forest reformation, the complete extent of the forest tenure, and the degree of forest income share of total household income and so on. Based on the combination of the analysis about the results of regression and SSCP paradigm, this paper does more in-depth analysis and interpretation about the logic of households＇ selection behavior. The maximum efficiency and operated sustainability can be achieved only when the characteristics of resources and environment of system to match the forestry operated pattern.