摘要
石油是我国重要能源资源,其储量不足、产量较低、消费需求激增等因素造成我国长期依靠进口的局面。基于GM(1,1)模型对我国2012-2020年的石油进口量进行预测,并提出保障我国石油资源安全的对策。
Oil is an important energy resource in China.The lack of reserves,low production,higher consumer demand and other factors contributes to the situation which depends on oil import in a long term.Based on GM(1,1) model,this paper is to predict the amount of oil imports from 2012 to 2020 and proposes countermeasures for guaranteeing the safety of oil resource in China.
出处
《能源技术与管理》
2012年第1期149-151,共3页
Energy Technology and Management
关键词
石油进口
进口量预测
安全保障
Oil Imports
Prediction of Oil Import Amounts
Safety Guarantee
