摘要
根据统计年鉴1999～2008年数据,利用灰色关联分析法对科技投入与产出进行关联性计算,并以新疆为例进行实证分析;根据过去十年的科技投入产出状况,利用GM(1,1)模型对2009～2014年新疆科技投入与产出的相关性进行展望。研究结果显示,近十年,新疆科技产出主要由科技活动人员投入数量与投入时间推动;而未来五年,新疆科技产出将由科技经费投入与科技设备投入来推动,预示科技投入活动将由"劳动密集型"向"资金密集型"转型。
Taking Xinjiang as an example, the paper analyzes the relational degree between sci - tech input and output from 1999 to 2008 based on gray relational analysis method （GRA）. In addition, GM （1, 1 ） model is used to predict the con- ditions of sci - teeh input and output from 2009 -2014. The resuhs show that： the sei - tech output over the past decade in Xinjiang is pushed mainly from investment of number and time in sei -tech personnel. However, for the next five years, Xijiang scientific output will be improved by sci -tech funding and equipments, which means that sei -teeh input activities will transfer from ＂ labor intensive＂ to ＂ capital - intensive＂.
出处
《科技管理研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第6期197-200,共4页
Science and Technology Management Research
基金
新疆软科学项目"新疆优势产业集群化发展战略研究"(200942144)
新疆人力资源和社会保障厅公开竞标项目"新疆引进国外智力成果跟踪研究"(201055804)
