摘要
从系统的观点出发,把保险公司的赔付情况与投资收益结合,对非比例再保险建立在一类在较弱的市场假设条件下进行投资的线性正倒向随机微分方程的改进模型.根据一类特殊线性倒向随机微分方程的显式解,加入时间序列预测方法,给出了基于投资的非比例再保险定价公式,为保险公司厘定非比例再保险的保费提供新的可行性方法.
Combining the payment of insurance companies and investment income, this paper builds an improved model on the linear forward-backward stochastic differential equations in the context of investment with a class of weak conditions based on non-proportional reinsurance. According to the explicit solution of a special class of linear backward stochastic differ- ential equations, and taking into account time series forecasting methods, this paper gives the insurance pricing formula based on investment and provides a new feasible method of the non-proportional reinsurance pricing for insurance companies.
出处
《经济数学》
2012年第1期94-99,共6页
Journal of Quantitative Economics
关键词
非比例再保险定价
倒向随机微分方程
Itö微分公式
时间序列预测
ARIMA模型
non-proportional reinsurance pricing
backward stochastic differential equations
Itödifferential formula
the prediction of time series
the model of ARIMA