我国旅游环境承载力预警研究综述与展望

A Review of Tourism Environment Carrying Capacity Warning

当前我国旅游环境承载力预警研究处于初步探索阶段,其理论和方法体系尚不成熟、不完善。本文引入预警理论和借鉴相关领域预警实践成果,在分析旅游预警领域的研究现状与存在问题的基础上,对旅游环境承载力预警理论、预警方法与应用研究成果进行深入分析,进而提出旅游环境承载力预警研究的主要趋势和研究重点:即进一步丰富和完善旅游环境承载力研究内容体系,加强旅游环境承载力动态预警及其空间差异预警研究,以及重视生态环境相对脆弱的沿海地区的滨海旅游环境承载力预警研究。

Now the research of tourism environment carrying capacity warning is still at the initial stage in China,and its theory and method systems are not mature and perfect.Based on the current situation and problems of tourism warning,the article makes an in-depth analysis of warning theory,methods and application by introducing the warning theory,and learning from early warning practice results of related fields.The paper also puts forward the main research trend and focus,namely enriching and improving its research contents,strengthening the research into dynamic warning and spatial difference warning,and concentrating on coastal tourism environment carrying capacity warning in coastal areas,where their ecological environment is relatively weak.