新世纪以来我国FDI外溢效应的俱乐部特征

Chinese Provinces’TFP and Clubs Characterization of Spillover Effect of FDI in New Century:Empirical Research Based on Panel Data Threshold Regression

本文测算了2001-2008年间我国大陆各省区的全要素生产率,进而利用面板门槛模型,以人均GDP为门槛变量,实证检验了FDI与TFP的非线性关系。研究发现,2001-2008年间,我国TFP整体呈上升态势,但TFP水平和增速在地区间不平衡的现象比较突出。FDI的外溢效应呈现俱乐部特征:在经济发达地区,FDI会产生正向的溢出效应,而在欠发达地区FDI则不会产生正向的外溢效应。

In this paper,we estimate the total factor productivity in China's Mainland during 2001-2008.We also examine the nonlinear relationship between FDI and TFP using per capita GDP as the threshold variable by panel data threshold regression model.According to the empirical research,we get the following results.Firstly,China＇s TFP had an overall upward trend during 2001-2008,but the regional imbalance of TFP level and growth were prominent.The spillover effects of FDI presented Club features： in the economically developed regions,FDI had positive spillover effects;but in the less developed regions,FDI could not generate positive spillover effects.