我国出口价格的影响因素及其贡献评估

Factors Influencing China's Export Prices and Their Contribution Appraisal

由进口价格上涨引致的输入型价格上涨是推动我国出口价格上涨的主要因素。国外物价上涨、国际市场需求扩大和平均出口退税率下降,也对出口价格上涨产生了重要的直接推动作用。出口数量扩大、人民币名义有效汇率小幅度贬值等国内因素抑制了出口价格的上涨,并消化吸收了大部分由国外因素引致的出口价格涨幅,但国内因素对出口价格涨幅的消化吸收能力正在弱化。需要高度关注出口价格上涨对我国出口及经济增长的负面影响。

The input price hike caused by import price hike is the main factor that pushes China＇ s export price hike. Factors like price hikes in foreign countries, higher demands in international mar- ket and the decrease of average export rebate rate also exert significant and direct influence on the ex- port price hike. Domestic factors like the expansion of export and the slight devaluation of RMB nomi- nal effective exchange rate suppress export price hike, which is also caused by factors abroad. Howev- er, the ability of domestic factors to absorb export price hike is weakening. Therefore, we should highly pay attention to the negative influence caused by export price hike on Chinese export and econ- omv.