摘要
通过组织火灾应急疏散逃生演习、现场问卷调查等方式,统计了体育馆内人员的疏散预动作时间,进而建立多分变量逻辑斯蒂回归模型对该统计数据进行了研究。发现:男生选择疏散预动作时间为<30 s的可能性是女生的0.886倍,选择疏散预动作时间为30-60 s的可能性是女生的2.818倍。预测人员疏散预动作时间为<30 s、30-60 s、>60 s的概率,男生分别为15.45%,75.61%、8.94%,而女生分别为24.14%,39.72%、36.14%;研究结果表明:人员性别的不同对疏散预动作时间有一定的影响,在体育馆类建筑中,青少年人员疏散预动作时间基本上小于60 s。
Personnel pre-movement time in the gymnasium was studied by fire emergency evacuation drill and questionnaire survey.The Multinominal Logistic Regression Model was applied on analyzing survey data.The result showed that evacuation pre-movement time(30 s) spended by male is 0.603 times as long as one spended by female and evacuation pre-movement time(30 s-60 s) spended by male is 2.818 times longer than one spended by female.In public buildings represented by the stadium,the probability of male's evacuation pre-movement time(30 s,30 s-60 s,60 s) respectively is 15.45 %,75.61 %,8.94 % and the probability of female's evacuation pre-movement time(30 s,30 s-60 s,60 s) respectively is 24.14 %,39.72 %,36.14%.It showed that different gender has a certain effect on pre-evacuation time.In public buildings represented by the gymnasium,young students pre-movement time is less than 60 s.
出处
《中国安全生产科学技术》
CAS
2012年第2期65-68,共4页
Journal of Safety Science and Technology
基金
体育馆人员疏散特性研究(编号:2011-k3-9)
关键词
人员性别
疏散预动作时间
多分变量逻辑斯蒂回归
问卷调查
personnel gender
evacuation pre-movement time
multinominal logistic regression
questionnaire survey