出口贸易影响了中国服务业占比吗

Does Exporting Trade Influence Share of China's Service Sector

随着人均收入水平的提高,服务业占国民经济比重将不断上升,但是中国服务业占GDP的比重却明显低于相同收入组国家的平均水平。本文构建了一个贸易开放与生产率进步相结合的模型来说明贸易开放对产业结构演变的作用,弥补了既有研究大多基于封闭经济框架的缺陷,并且基于此探讨了贸易开放对中国产业结构演变的影响。研究结果显示,出口贸易的增加抑制了中国经济中服务业所占比重的增加。分位数回归的分析表明,出口扩张很大程度上造成了中国的服务业占比偏低。

As per capita income level increases, the share of service industry will continue to rise. However, China＇s services industry share that accounts for the proportion of GDP is lower than the national average level of the same income group. This paper constructs a model that combines trade openness and productivity progress to illustrate the role of trade openness on the evolution of industrial structure, and discusses its influence on evolution of industrial structure of China. The results show that growth of exporting trade suppresses the share of service industry in China＇s economy. And analysis of quantile regressions indicate that ex- pansion of exporting trade largely causes lower share of service sector in China