区域旅游发展对林业经济增长的长期影响——基于1998～2010年中国省级面板数据的经验研究

The Long-Term Impact of Regional Tourism Development on Forestry Economy——An Empirical Study Based on the Provincial Panel Date from 1998 to 2010 in China

依据1998～2010年中国的省级数据,利用面板协整分析方法,对中国区域旅游业发展对林业经济增长的长期效应进行了经验研究。结果表明,无论在全国范围还是在东、中、西部地区,林业产值和旅游总收入之间存在长期稳定的协整关系,旅游发展对林业经济增长具有明显的正向推动作用。

The paper using panel co-integration analysis to research the long-term impact of regional tourism development on forestry economy in China based on the provincial data from1998 to 2010. The empirical study found that, no matter in the national scope or in the eastern, central and western re- gions, the long-term co-integration relationship between regional forestry production value and total tourism income is really exist, and the development of regional tourism has obviously promoted the de- velopment of the regional forestry economy. In addition, the effect of tourism promoting the forestl3, is different in the eastern, central and western regions.