基于组合预测模型在高校招生人数预测中的应用研究

Based on the Combination Forecasting Model in the Applied Research of College Enrollment Prediction

引进诱导有序加权平均算子,建立诱导有序加权平均组合预测模型,借助它对四川省普通高等学校招生人数进行预测.通过两个误差指标值的比较,说明这种方法的合理性,从而为教育部门制定相关的就业体制提供依据.

This paper will introduce an induced ordered weighted averaging（IOWA） operator, and the new combined forecasting model based on induced ordered weighted averaging（IOWA） operator is established,using it for forecasting the ordinary college enrollment in sichuan province.Through the comparison of two error respectively,explain the rationality of the method,so as to provides the basis for the education department formulating the employment system.