我国中长期科学技术发展预测系统研究

RESEARCH ON THE MEDIUM-LONG TERM FORECASTING SYSTEM FOR SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY IN CHINA

本文论述了苏联、美国、日本等工业发达国家科学技术预测工作的进展及特点,在对工业发达国家与发展中国家科学研究活动特征比较的基础上,分析了我国科学技术预测的侧重点和应解决的主要问题。最后,作者提出了建立我国中长期科学技术发展预测系统的设想、具体的工作目标、研究内容及研究方法。

The present paper describes the characteristics and progress of scientific and technological forecasting in the Soviet Union, the United States, and Japan. On the basis of a comparison made of the scientific research activities between developed countries and developing countries, this paper has made an analysis of the key emphases on the main problems to be solved. Finally, the authors present a tentative plan to set up the medium-long term forecasting system and also make a systematic elaboration of its concrete objectives, contents and some methods.