基于可能性理论的导弹攻防作战系统态势分析

Missile Defence Combat System Situation Analysis Based on the Theory of Possibility

在导弹武器系统攻防作战中,提出一种基于可能性理论的态势分析模型。由模糊Petri网的复合与规则分别计算敌我双方导弹体系的可能性测度作战效能、必然性测度作战效能以及可信性测度作战效能,通过比较双方的相应测度值,得出战场态势等级,从而辅助作战人员进行决策。实例表明,该模型有效且可行。

In missile weapon system defence combat,a situation analysis model is put forward based on the theory of possibility.Possibility measure fighting efficiency、inevitability measure fighting efficiency、credibility measure fighting efficiency of both sides missile system are calculated respectively by rules of the fuzzy Petri nets.Battlefield situation level can be obtained by comparison corresponding measures of both sides,thus it helps fighting personnel make decision.The example shows that the model is effective and feasible.