江苏省廉租住房需求预测研究

The Prediction on the Low-rent Housing Demand of Jiangsu Province

为了进一步完善住房保障的供应体系,为今后几年廉租住房政策的实施提供具有可操作性的建议,文章以2005-2009年江苏省各年的城市居民人均居住面积、人口总数为原始资料,通过建立灰色GM(1,1)模型,预测出2011-2016年的廉租住房需求总量,误差检验表明,预测结果精确度较好,具有一定的参考价值。

In order to improve the supply system of housing security, gives operationable adviees to low - renthousing policy for the next few years, the article based on the per capita living space of urban residents and the total population of the original data between 2005 - 2009, Jiangsu province, through the establishment of gray GM （ 1,1 ） model, to predict the needs of low - rent housing of 2011 - 2016, error test shows that the prediction accuracy isbetter,with some reference value.