技术创新路径锁定与解锁

Lock-in and Unlocking of Technological Innovation Path

技术创新路径锁定是一个历史依赖过程,路径锁定的根本原因在于各类技术之间存在巨大转移成本和潜在不同市场均衡。报酬递增效应、自增强机制以及群体博弈均会影响到市场对技术的选择,这种选择会使技术发展陷入固定轨道。研究了技术创新路径锁定机理、锁定效应以及解锁模式,从提高参与人认知能力、改善外部环境、实施利益诱导和外部冲击四个方面提出实现技术创新解锁的途径。

The path lock-in of technological innovation is a dependence process of the history.The fundamental reason of the path lock-in is that existing transfer costs and potential different market equilibrium in all types of technology.Increasing returns effect,self strengthening mechanism and group game will be affecting the market choice of technology.This choice will make the technology development in a fixed orbit.The path lock-in mechanism,lock-in effect and unlocking pattern of technological innovation is systematically researched in this paper.The way of technical innovation unlocking is put forward from promoting participants cognitive ability,improving external environment,implementing benefit induction and external shocks.