河北省寒潮天气形势分析及预报

Analysis and Prediction of Synoptic Situation for Cold Wave Weather Occurred in Hebei Province

利用1991～2010年高空、地面常规气象资料和数值预报产品,应用天气学、动力学和统计学相结合的方法,对河北省寒潮天气的环流形势、冷空气活动路径和气候背景等方面进行了分析,将河北省寒潮的短期天气形势归纳为4种主要的类型,并总结出河北省寒潮天气的预报着眼点。

Based on the conventional sounding and meteorological observation data as well as numerical weather prediction product from 1991 to 2010,the circulation pattern,cold-air track and climatic background field,etc.of cold wave weather occurred in Hebei Province were analyzed by using synoptic,dynamic and statistical methods.Short-range weather situation of cold wave weather in Hebei was classified into 4 types and forecast index was summarized in paper.