摘要
选取1990-2010年四川省经济数据,运用格兰杰因果检验、VAR模型和脉冲响应分析等方法对四川省经济增长与投资消费之间的关系进行了实证研究,结果表明:不论时间长短,投资水平对经济增长和消费水平的影响相对显著,而经济增长和消费水平在短期内对其他两项的影响不显著。
The paper selects the economic data in Sichuan from 1990 to 2010 and conducts an empirical research on the relationship between the economic growth and investment-consumption in Sichuan Province＇s economic growth and investment and consumption,using such methods as the Granger Causality Test,VAR models and Impulse Response Analysis.Results show： regardless of the length of time,the level of investment plays a relatively significant role in economic growth and consumption levels whereas the impact of economic growth and consumption levels on the other two aspects is relatively insignifican in the short term.
出处
《河南工业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2012年第1期71-73,共3页
Journal of Henan University of Technology:Social Science Edition
关键词
经济增长
投资消费
格兰杰因果检验
VAR模型
economic growth
investment and consumption
Granger Causality Test
VAR model
