人均水产品消费量影响因素的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on Affecting Factors of Aquatic Products Consumption per Capita

伴随着我国经济的持续发展,居民收入水平的不断提高,食物消费也在渐渐提高,其中对水产品的消费也随着增加。为给水产品相关企业的决策和政府管理提供政策借鉴,运用计量经济学的分析方法,选取上海地区作为分析对象,以上海市人均GDP,消费者价格指数水产品的产量作自变量,人均水产品消费量作为因变量,并以2000年为划分点考察了两个时间段上海市人均水产品消费量影响因素的变化。实证结果表明:1999年之前影响水产品消费的主要因素是人均GDP,2000年之后影响水产品消费量的主要因素不仅仅是人均GDP和水产消费价格指数及水产品产量,还包括一些其它因素。

With the sustainable development of economy and people＇s income increasing gradually,the consumption in food also accelerates,especially in aquatic products. In order to provide decision for the enterprises and policy reference for the government, the methods of econometrics was used,Shanghai GDP per capita,Shanghai aquatic products consumer price index and output of aquatic products were chosen as explaining elements to analyze the dependent variable consumption per capita of aquatic products in two different times 1990-1999, 2000-2009. The results showed that in 1990-1999, the main affecting element was GDP per capita while in 2000-2009 GDP per capita,aquatic products consumer price index and output of aquatic products could not simply explain the consumption. It also depended on other factors.