摘要
以消费者信心指数作为通货膨胀预期指标,以中国1999—2010年住房市场月度数据为样本,实证检验通货膨胀预期对未来住房价格的影响。实证检验结果表明,通货膨胀预期会导致住房价格上涨,即生产者和消费者对通货膨胀预期将推动住房价格的不断上涨,因此,稳定通货膨胀预期对于稳定住房价格具有十分重要的作用。
Based on the economic indicator of Consumer Confidence Index, this paper prognosticates and analyzes the impact of infla- tion expectations on housing price and presents a housing prices and multivariate regression model for scientific analysis with the sample of 1999--2010 housing market monthly data in China.Study found that inflation expectations can result in rise of housing prices, namely producers＇ and consumers＇ of inflation expectations, will intensively promote the imbalances of real estate market supply and demand and cause the rising housing prices.
出处
《经济研究导刊》
2012年第10期9-11,共3页
Economic Research Guide
关键词
通胀预期
住房价格
消费者信心指数
inflation expectations
housing price
consumer confidence index
